Why is it close 😭
wyd over there??
this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
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edit: it's too close, and I was wrong. This country is fucked, even if Harris manages to eek out a fractional win. WTF America
It's "close" because polls aren't votes.
Polls are not an accurate measurement of reality, as they are a significant minority of registered people answering the phone and responding to a questionnaire.
Ask how many proclaimed demographics moved from one party to the other.
Ask how many are voting for the first time.
Ask which methods of voter suppression are in effect before and during voting.
Ask how many are apathetic to research.
Ask which gender is more likely to vote.
Ask which economic group is more likely to vote.
Ask why we haven't moved from the electrical college.
Ask why we haven't moved from First Past the Post voting.
All of those and so many more reasons obfuscate the reality. It's not close, but "reporting" on it being close garners views, therefore ad revenue.
This shit ain't close. But there are still too many who are voting for Fuckface 45. And still even more who aren't voting but should (for many different reasons including suppression).
Just to be clear, it's the media's fault I've had back-to-back panic attacks about whether or not I'll have rights in 3mo? Sick...
It's Fuckface 45's fault.
The girlfriend and I don't plan on getting married. I joked with her today that we should consider marrying some Americans so they can escape the hellfire (ignoring that Canada is also staring down the barrel of this brand of toxic bullshit next election)
Because our leaders squandered the last four years and failed to hold trump accountable for even one of his thousands of egregious and felonious legal violations, so here he is again, running as a free man.
Æn elektorėl kȯlidj.
spoiler
An electoral college.
It turns out that it's hard to tell the future. Polls have to make assumptions and the safest assumption is that this election is going to look like elections in the past. From the early voting data, we know that this election isn't like 2016, or 2020, and what that tells us pretty reliably is that the polls are wrong.
This is how Trump got an upset in 2016, he turned out loads of people who normally don't vote, and were therefore underrepresented in the polling. It is likely that many of these same voters are going to sit it out this year while all the polls are counting them double.