eleitl

joined 4 years ago
MODERATOR OF
[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 1 points 8 months ago

The only threat from Russia is a mirror response to the threat from NATO. It's good that professional soldiers understand the role they are expected to play and are opting out.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 2 points 8 months ago

Interesting perspective from Thailand.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 3 points 8 months ago (2 children)

I'm not quite seeing the point for these products since delicious fresh mushrooms can be grown at home from substrate that mostly doesn't use human food as components. When I retire I might pick up growing food mushrooms as a useful hobby, along with a conventional food forest/kitchen garden.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 2 points 8 months ago

Jolly good, but for geology. They didn't know anything about that in 1944 of course.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml -3 points 8 months ago

Far right is a massive hyperbole. Most of them are just political submarines, to capture right wing voters.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 9 points 8 months ago

Please tell us whether you'll get a response.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 60 points 8 months ago (2 children)

Complain to your respective GDPR enforcement officer. I should, too.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 52 points 8 months ago (4 children)

That eula is not valid in the EU.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 7 points 8 months ago
[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)
[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 4 points 8 months ago

Significance

Climate models show a tight relationship between post-1970s global warming and climate sensitivity. The latest IPCC Assessment Report used observations of the warming rate to constrain Earth’s climate sensitivity and warming projections. However, climate models do not reproduce the observed spatial pattern of warming, introducing a bias in the modeled warming-sensitivity relationship that results in overly-confident constraints. The findings suggest that observed warming over recent decades provides very little information about climate sensitivity, and that constraints on high-sensitivity values must come from other lines of evidence. Additionally, projections of global warming need to account for how the spatial pattern will evolve in the future. Since climate models fail to reproduce recent patterns, this introduces a major uncertainty in climate projections.

Abstract

The observed rate of global warming since the 1970s has been proposed as a strong constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) and transient climate response (TCR)—key metrics of the global climate response to greenhouse-gas forcing. Using CMIP5/6 models, we show that the inter-model relationship between warming and these climate sensitivity metrics (the basis for the constraint) arises from a similarity in transient and equilibrium warming patterns within the models, producing an effective climate sensitivity (EffCS) governing recent warming that is comparable to the value of ECS governing long-term warming under CO forcing. However, CMIP5/6 historical simulations do not reproduce observed warming patterns. When driven by observed patterns, even high ECS models produce low EffCS values consistent with the observed global warming rate. The inability of CMIP5/6 models to reproduce observed warming patterns thus results in a bias in the modeled relationship between recent global warming and climate sensitivity. Correcting for this bias means that observed warming is consistent with wide ranges of ECS and TCR extending to higher values than previously recognized. These findings are corroborated by energy balance model simulations and coupled model (CESM1-CAM5) simulations that better replicate observed patterns via tropospheric wind nudging or Antarctic meltwater fluxes. Because CMIP5/6 models fail to simulate observed warming patterns, proposed warming-based constraints on ECS, TCR, and projected global warming are biased low. The results reinforce recent findings that the unique pattern of observed warming has slowed global-mean warming over recent decades and that how the pattern will evolve in the future represents a major source of uncertainty in climate projections.

[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 3 points 8 months ago (5 children)

I hear you, but Proxmox does a great many more things than just run containers. Admittedly, many selfhosters won't need these.

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