Politics

Voters across the political spectrum said they've lied about their voting: 27% of Democrats acknowledged it, while 24% of Republicans and 20% of independents did so. The survey didn't ask exactly how, why or to whom they'd lied.

This is what I was looking for. It's not reliable data about which direction it may be influencing polling, but if a self-identified "democrat" is lying, presumably it is to conservative family or friends about conservative support (and vice versa). This would mean there is slightly more "shy" democrats than republicans, but with a very large "independent" black box.

I found out my brother has been a Trumper since 2016, and keeps it secret from his friends, who he knows would not be okay with it. Not so much "shy", as "knows he's an asshole, but literally only cares about religion". He's just a misogynist, is the reality.

I haven't lied, but I've let a hot conservative continue to make assumptions.

I wonder how many of these were people who voted for Trump in 2016 and now feel shame/embarrassment after seeing the entailing colossal clusterfuck they were partially responsible for.

This is a decent video explaining some of the background on why polling got worse from business insider. Essentially it has more to do with conservatives being underreported (they don't like talking to pollsters) then Gen Z, Millennials, or Gen Xs. Not saying that didn't play a part, but Nate Silver has talked about this as well in his Silver Bulletin.

Now I need the chart of people lying about lying about their vote!