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Blue Maga: We need to talk about the cult-like turn of the Democratic party
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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There's not one candidate that polls in any measurable way better than Biden vs Trump.
Put this superhero out there that will not only retain the existing support but draw away people who are so furiously infatuated with Trump as to declare him effectively divine.
If you have nobody then STFU with this 'blue maga' bit.
It differs from poll to poll, but Kamala Harris generally polls a couple points ahead of Biden. She's the only one. However, I consider it pretty unlikely that that'll still be true after the chaos of replacing the nominee, and once the misinformation-machine spins up which is currently getting people to think that Biden was bad for the economy or differed in any negative way from standard US foreign policy (for as fucking war-criminal awful as it is) towards Israel. I think once she was in the crosshairs, she would fall significantly behind where Biden is now.
I could be wrong. And we're also betting with that calculus that Biden doesn't commit any more egregious fuckups like the debate. I don't actually know what the right answer is. I do know that the same people swearing it's a great idea to replace Biden have also been lying their asses off trying to hurt him in the election since long since replacing him became a mainstream thing. That doesn't necessarily mean there isn't a way to do it that works out to be a good strategy, but it does bias me a certain amount against the idea.
The ones I've seen for Kamela had her about equal with Biden and more of the 'undecided' sided to Trump. For me it's a question of give me someone with a 5-10+ here because the numbers have floated by +/- 5 points either way for months.