this post was submitted on 23 Mar 2024
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No.
Why?
I don't think mastodon will be around in a decade, while I can easily imagine bluesky being around in 20.
Bluesky will be around as long as there's a company behind it. If it's not profitable, it'll cease to exist overnight. Activitypub will be around as long as people enjoy it, which is a lot more sustainable.
Mastodon is just one platform used to access the Fediverse. I agree, Mastodon might not be the hottest Fediverse microblogging app in a decade, but the Fediverse will certainly still be around. And that's what you should really care about.
Don't go to Mastodon specifically, just go to the Fediverse.
Misskey or one of it's many forks is good too