this post was submitted on 31 Dec 2023
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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The politics of oil are particularly tricky for Democrats, whose chances for victory in next year’s elections can hinge on whether young, climate-focused voters come out in big numbers.

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[–] RagingRobot@lemmy.world 10 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I heard someone say we are at peak oil now or should be soon so this would make sense. Assuming the trend starts going down now....

[–] MrMakabar 15 points 10 months ago (1 children)

OPEC+ has been cutting production recently and the US has filled that gap. The reason people presume we hit peak oil soon is basically EVs. Cars make up a huge part of the global oil consumption and replacing them with anything not using oil would change the equation a lot. The other big story is China and the Chinese economy crashing. If that happens we are going to see a massive decrease in emissions very quickly.

[–] Zoboomafoo 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Plus Russia isn't exporting to Europe anymore and the Democrats need to keep gas prices as low as possible because that's all swing voters care about.

[–] DarkGamer@kbin.social 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Imagine supporting fascism because gas prices are high, this sort of voter is one of the problems with democracy, it kind of falls apart when people aren't educated.

[–] Spacehooks@reddthat.com 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

And the reason people care about the gas prices is because of the jobs they are forced to drive to instead of remote work. Not mention remote work is a nono just to keep commercial real estate high. So really commercial landowners are the root of this.

[–] MrMakabar 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Bad urban planning is the cause of this. Going to work can be done on foot, via bicycle or using trains. All of those do not really use oil, if done right.

[–] Spacehooks@reddthat.com 1 points 10 months ago

Yeah but many jobs are at a international level. People do not need to be in office if the people they work with are in another continent. Like customer service for example has no reason to have a call center.