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Murray and Burnham provide no reference for this statement, probably because there is no evidence to support it. We do not claim knowledge of the entire African continent, but our research in South Africa and Namibia shows that, although the idea of a virgin sex cure is familiar in some African communities, evidence from service providers working with cases of child sexual abuse and from ethnographic and epidemiological studies of child rapists and their victims suggests that it is very rarely a motivating factor in these cases.

• The myth of the virgin rape myth (2009)

This study suggests that offenders convicted of a sexual crime against children in Malawi were not motivated by a desire to be cured or “cleansed” from HIV infection. A need to fulfil their sexual urges or the disinhibiting effect of drugs or alcohol was offered by the majority of participants as excuses for their behaviour. [...]

None of the participants said that a desire to cure or avoid HIV infection motivated the abuse.

• Explanations for child sexual abuse given by convicted offenders in Malawi: No evidence for “HIV cleansing”

To claim that the majority of young girls are contracting HIV because of rape specifically based on myth as motivating factor is absolutely fucking insane.

First off, you'd need to have an idea of x = the relative percentage of sex by young women in Africa that is not consensual.

Second, you'd need to have an idea of y = the percent of non-consensual sex that is primarily motivated by the belief sex with a virgin cures HIV.

You are claiming that x times y is greater than 50% (to explain the 2x discrepancy between HIV infection between men and women, having rejected my hypothesis that there's a fundamental difference in transmission rates in play).

So for example, if you posit that half of all sex young women experience is rape, then you'd need 100% of rapes of young women to be primarily motivated by a desire to cure HIV. If you assume only 50% of rapes are thus motivated, all sex young women experience would have to be rapes.

Given that research has shown zero percent of rapes in at least one study in Africa are primarily motivated by that, you have a bit of an uphill battle there.

Plus the whole fact that HIV is 2x more likely to infect the woman having vaginal sex than the man still seeming to my eye to be the most likely culprit for a 2x increase in HIV rates among young women vs men.