this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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no, big portion of every country is not rural.
also note we are not talking about rural in a sense of geography. we are talking about rural in a sense of what we in europe or us would call living in a medieval conditions.
for example, there is 231 registered cars in china compared to 850 in us.
in 2000, 57% of chinese had access to clean drinking water and toilet. by 2020 that number rose to respectable 92%.
now when these people finally have access to toilet, they will want a car and maybe a roof over their head that is made out of concrete instead of bamboo.
lets see how it will affect their emissions per capita.
and will be for some time, before their citizens will get to western living standard, by which time their emissions will be somewhere else than they are today.
well, united states have 1 km of railways per 1522 people, compared to chinese 8865, so it is easy to see why one of them may be in bigger rush to build more.
here is kinda interesting and unfortunate that according to table historical peek for us was 400k km of tracks in 1917, which is about 100% more than they have now, so, probably thanks to the car culture, they let lot of them rot.
yes, they do better here. it is the nature of the beast, if country has almost no cars and is getting richer, it is only logical that some of the new cars will be electrical, compared to country where people already have a car and often not so much disposable income to buy new car when the old one is still working, plus there is of course some inertia.
it is 38% / 23% / 9.5% market share of newly bought cars for china/eu/us.
that also means that 62% of cars sold in china is not electric. and 72% of electricity for these ev cars comes from non-renewable sources.
they are missing about 900 million cars to get to same car penetration as us. so lets wait until they get there and see what it does with their emissions 😂
of course. because why else would someone disagree with your genius? i am not an american, as you probably think, you clown.
Your thesis is that eventually Chinese will live extravagant lifestyles like the US and all own similar amounts of gas cars per household because that's how the US developed.
Never mind that China is actively electrifying and building incredible amounts of public transit so it's more likely their economy will scale in a green way as people live more urban lifestyles, closer to what you'd see in Europe and even beyond that due to electric rail and population density.
Yes if China was like 2 billion Americans you'd have a point I guess.
if chinese were significantly different from any other people anywhere in history of the world, you might have a point. it is about as likely as kamala winning the race now.