this post was submitted on 23 Oct 2024
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52% odds of winning on 538 is not really favored. 538 itself calls that even odds. A 2% difference is noise from polling
Also keep in mind that the 538 odds have been heavily influenced lately by right wing aligned groups flooding the average. The polling from higher quality groups hasn't really changed all that much, still largely suggesting Harris with a slight lead
I cannot comprehend how it isn't an absolute Harris 90%+ landslide. Her opponent is literally wannabe Hitler!
The fact that so many voters would welcome a dictator (as long as he's on their side) is very worrying.
Propaganda is a helluva drug...
I just was forced to listen to a trio of middle aged white women coworkers call Harris a "disaster" and saying Walz admits to having no idea how to use a gun, the couch-fucker was cordial and polite during the debate and that they sometimes financially struggle and that the orange turd would be better for them than Harris/Walz. And one of them said a family of theirs forwarded them a heartfelt email pleading them to read an article about why his 2nd term would be a bad thing for this country and all they did was chide the attempt.
If it was only the Hitler thing, it’s a proven method to get people on your side. But nooo it’s a drooling, diaper spoiling, demented obese oldtimer Hitler. Not quite the Übermensch you would expect those magats to simp for.
I think you got mixed up in the details and missed the point.