usernamesAreTricky

joined 1 year ago
[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 8 points 17 hours ago

No, no it made your other comment funnier

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 135 points 1 day ago (10 children)

It's probably a reference to when Trump called Tim Cook, Tim Apple by accident

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 21 points 1 day ago

Yes, they did really buy Info Wars. Here's a serious site talking about it:

https://www.axios.com/2024/11/14/alex-jones-infowars-the-onion

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 1 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

That's assuming that all Trump supporters vote down ballot. I've been reading that a non-negligable percentage of Trump voters just voted for president and left down ballot races blank. Considering Trump only won the swing states by tiny percentages, a small percentage of Trump voters leaving blank the rest is easily enough to sway it

For instance, if we look at Wisconsin senate, we see that Tammy Baldwin has almost exactly the same number of votes as Harris (only a couple hundred more), but Eric Hovde shows less substantially votes than Trump got

Results with ~99% reported:

Donald Trump: 1,697,769

Kamala Harris: 1,668,082

(And about 40k for third party)

Vs senate

Tammy Baldwin: 1,668,545 [+436 from Harris]

Eric Hovde: 1,641,181 [-56,615 from Trump]

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 1 points 5 days ago

The best time to plant a tree was twenty years ago. The second best is now

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 4 points 5 days ago

Separate from the Dems, but The Lincoln Project did run some ads aimed literally just at Trump to make him angry at his campaign staff. Here's one example that ran on Fox News during the hours that Trump was most likely to watch it. The Trump campaign ended up sending a cease and desist over it

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 6 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

We have avoided some of the worst case this election. Down ballot dems have done a lot better than for president and that's going to matter to keep them from being able to do anything without infighting fears. We could've been looking at a 57-43 senate should the swing states not have largely split their votes between senate and president. Instead we're likely looking at a 53-47 or 52-48 senate.* The house could've also been worse too.

In state legislatures, dems did fairly well all things considered. State legislatures are the place that resistance to Trump is most likely to really be effective. We've managed to keep a lot of state legislature seats and even flip some in other areas. For instance, we broke up North Carolina's republican super majority for instance which means the Democratic governor-elect can have effective vetos. We kept the 1 seat majority in the PA state house in a funny way of having two seats flipped in opposite directions and canceling each other out


*The Associated Press has called PA for McCormick, but Decision Desk actually thinks that Casey has a ~66% chance of winning still and neither campaign has conceded. McCormick is saying he thinks the call was incorrect and thinks things will could actually flip with the last 100,000 or so votes left to count and or may go to recount

EDIT: and to add on for further context, Decision Desk is usually some of the first to call any race - to the point where some people say their calls are premature. The AP usually calls races after Decision Desk. The AP usually is much more slow on their calls which is why this situation is so strange where the AP has called it but Decision Desk hasn't and thinks it actually has 2/3 odds of going the opposite way that the AP called it

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 3 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (8 children)

They will probably at least slow themselves down at minimum, though and that will matter. Their majority is already narrow and there are good odds of cutting into that majority further or potentially even flipping the house if we're very lucky. They had house speakership fights for a while in 2022 with a narrow majority

They are already having some signs of potential infighting in the senate where some Republicans are trying to claim McConnell is holding a "coup" against trump by having earlier senate leader elections (McConnel is not running for senate majority leader so it's a bit more competitive)

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 28 points 5 days ago

It saw some big growth after Brazil banned twitter and network effects make platform changes take longer

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 27 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Network effects matter a lot for social media. You need people on a platform for people to use it

Every erosion of a platform's users will matter. Platforms often die by a thoudand cuts. It doesn't have to be a single death blow

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 22 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Do not give up the fight. Make every little issue a drawn out fight so they cannot move on to the next thing

Despair and hopelessness are what they want you to have. They want you to let them take it away without any resistance. Don't give in

[–] usernamesAreTricky@lemmy.ml 8 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

At the federal level, drag out everything and block everything you can. Their margins in the house, should it be called in their favor, will be extremely narrow. Let them in fight and flame against each other. Use every procedural rule to slow stuff down. Filibuster everything. Even if a specific issue is a losing fight, make them have to fight it so they cannot move on to something else. Republicans have used these tricks to block progress for a long time, time to flip it back on them

At the state level, we can much have more room to push back. A lot of what they are likely to pull is pushing things back into the states. Codify everything at state levels. Ensrhine our rights into state constitutions. A lot of federal operations rely on state government cooperating behind the scenes. Without it, a lot more can be slowed way down or made much more difficult

Outside the government, we still have power as individuals. Organize unions, protests, etc

 

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22316140

 

As things are more likely to fall back to the states, make sure your state is willing to fight for their rights

Don't give in to despair. Grieving is natrual, but don't let it consume you completely. When you build back up that energy, put your fury into change

 

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22122373

https://www.rockthevote.org/how-to-vote/same-day-voter-registration/

map from: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/31/voter-registration-election-day-2024


Another note that New York is currently even weirder having only allowed same day voter registration on a single day of early voting rather than the entire period unlike North Carolina

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