this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2024
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What delusional takes has Hasan had? Also swapping out Biden definitely wasn't a risk, no one really wanted him, they just didn't want Trump. Which was shown by the big bump Kamala got after Biden dropped out, that bump matches actually a lot with one of the things Hasan talks about. The fact that a faceless democratic politician is much more popular than Biden in polls. Biden was actively hurting the Democrats chances both on the national level and down the ballot. It wasn't a risk to get rid of him, it was obvious that he was hurting Democrats chances overall.
In his infinite wisdom and understanding of international affairs Hasan predicted, several times, that Russia would never invade Ukraine, was never going to invade Ukraine in the first place and all warnings from the West were lies to stoke up international tensions.
Days before Russia invaded Ukraine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKuojixnwHQ
That wasn't a delusional take at the time. The reason he thought that was because he thought it would be a stupid move and bad for Russia to invade Ukraine, which turned out to be right with how much it has hurt Russia. Plus I remember at the time even people in Ukraine didn't think it was gonna happen and that it was just America saber rattling. But even so after he was proven wrong he took responsibility and was open about the fact that he was wrong.
Big difference between "I don't think Russia is going to invade" and "Russia will never invade, was never going to invade, everyone who thinks so is stupid", Crimea is just a big joke, anyone who thinks otherwise is "liberal QAnon", the only reason the West is claiming this is because they are stoking tension.
It's the analysis of international affairs at the level of a 15 year old. It's cringe, it's frequently wrong, and it's delusional. There was no fundamental analysis on the feasibility of a Russian ground invasion.
What is this even supposed to mean? Some people probably did. I don't know how this is relevant, to him being so confidently wrong about it.
This is irrelevant. His analysis was completely delusional.
At the time people knew it would be a bad move for Russia to invade not because of whether it would militarily go well but because of the sanctions that would follow and hurt the Russian economy. Also when I said people in Ukraine said that I meant government officials. I didn't go more into that as I don't fully remember the context but I remember before the invasion there were news interviews with Ukrainian officials saying that Russia wouldn't invade and that the US shouldn't stoke tensions in the region.
With all of that in mind I think it's fair to think that Russia wasn't actually gonna invade because it would be really stupid for them to do so and the people in the region were saying it wouldn't happen. I don't think that analysis is delusional, the conclusion ended up being wrong but the reasoning behind it was solid at the time. Of course with hind sight you can see more signs and reasons as to why it ended up happening but with the info that was available at the time it made sense as to why invading would be a bad idea. Which was proven right by how badly the war has been going both economically and militarily for Russia.
Oh man, he doesn't take media talking points at face value and isn't literally clairvoyant to make up for it. What a disappointment. I guess I'll have to find someone else to watch...