this post was submitted on 27 Jul 2024
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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How Soon Might the Atlantic Ocean Break? Two Sibling Scientists Found an Answer—and Shook the World (www.wired.com)
submitted 3 months ago by jeffw@lemmy.world to c/climate
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[–] drdiddlybadger@pawb.social 9 points 3 months ago (2 children)

So as soon as tomorrow as late as the next century? Fuck

[–] rimu@piefed.social 9 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

No, not every year has equal probability. 2057 and the years around then are the most likely.

[–] JayTreeman@fedia.io 8 points 3 months ago

With a 95% certainty that it'll happen before 2095.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 6 points 3 months ago

It's possible, but not likely, I'll live to see it happen. 2057 means I'd be 88. Highly unlikely I'll see 88 given my medical and family history.

Say 95% chance I won't live that long. :)