silence7

joined 1 year ago
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Whether this is effective at all depends very much on who wins the House. If Republicans win, they can use the Congressional Review Act to instantly wipe any regulation that Biden put in place in the last few months. If the Democrats win there, legally rescinding regulations like this will take years.

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cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/15017984

IMHO, probably not; musk seems interested in his own finances, and on pitting people against minorities so that they don't see him stealing from them.

 

IMHO, probably not; musk seems interested in his own finances, and on pitting people against minorities so that they don't see him stealing from them.

 

cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/15001941

Diplomats and leaders from around the world are gathering for annual climate negotiations. Here’s what they’re all about and what Donald Trump’s victory means for the meeting.

I'll note that these negotiations require consensus to act, which means that much of what we would need (eg: binding cuts to extraction and use of fossil fuels) are basically not attainable through them.

 

Diplomats and leaders from around the world are gathering for annual climate negotiations. Here’s what they’re all about and what Donald Trump’s victory means for the meeting.

I'll note that these negotiations require consensus to act, which means that much of what we would need (eg: binding cuts to extraction and use of fossil fuels) are basically not attainable through them.

[–] silence7 7 points 1 month ago

That's an inherent problem in any capitalist economy; competitive pressures mean that the owners are always trying to push down wages as much as possible. Without unionization (and few of the clean energy companies are unionized) there's very little to resist it.

[–] silence7 5 points 1 month ago

There are a fair number which won't; "mobile" homes are not designed to the same durability standard that a permanent home is. That's reasonable for an RV that actually needs to move from location to location, but means you're taking significant added risk for one which sits forever in one place.

[–] silence7 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The problem here isn't that models are wrong or inadequate, but that FEMA, for political reasons, has based its maps and risk estimates on historical averages, and those don't adequately capture the change we've had, or relatively low-probability events.

[–] silence7 5 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Sure you can. It's a matter of using modeling to estimate its probability and then planning around it. Californians have done a planning exercise around a storm somewhat worse than the 1860-1861 storm sequence for exactly this kind of reason.

[–] silence7 15 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Potentially well above. School shooters kill a few dozen at most. If the far right goes ahead with their violent fantasies, the death toll could be a million plus

[–] silence7 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

For sure, but it could be slightly less dire if a lot of states were able to somehow implement climate policy despite a Trump administration effort to maximize fossil fuel extraction and consumption.

[–] silence7 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Every country needs to go to zero emissions, and Brazil is big enough to matter. Its fossil fuel use has been modest, but deforestion can tip the Amazon from a rain forest into a dry savanna, killing off all the trees, and releasing the carbon they presently sequester.

[–] silence7 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

By the time people like you and I are totally sick of a topic, it's just starting to break through into mainstream consciousness.

[–] silence7 14 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

The retired general isn't selling a book; Bob Woodward, the journalist who helped expose Watergate decades ago, interviewed him and is selling a book.

[–] silence7 21 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

The retired general who said this isn't making a profit; Bob Woodward, the journalist, is the one selling the book, not the general.

[–] silence7 34 points 1 month ago (2 children)

The military doesn't have the same latitude to criticize the President like this that the rest of us do. He can't legally say stuff like this until after retirement

[–] silence7 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Kinda sorta; you'd still have some probability of a storm developing, so what they're doing is comparing simulated weather weather in worlds with and without the added greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and asking "how likely is this to happen" and seeing that there are differences between the two situations.

Specific methodology for different parts of the rapid-attribution study are linked from here

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