MrMakabar

They are restoring rule of law in Poland. So it depends, if you like PiS or not.

Last year the EU produced 42% of its electricity with renewables. 18.9% of it with wind and 8.0% with solar. There is also a 24.5% share of nuclear, which is probably going to stay stable. That leaves 31.9% fossil fuels. So we have to a bit more then double wind and solar installations in the EU. That is entirly possible to do. Especially with offshore becoming as cheap as it is and we still have a lot of rooftops without solar.

About storage there is a wonderfull thing called electricity grids. The worst days for wind last year wind made up a bit less then 10% of electricity production. That is of an average of 18.9% over the entire year. For solar it is worse in wind, but luckily wind makes up a lot of the rest. Combined that means that the worst days still have 13% wind + solar EU wide. So about half of average. As soon as you extend it to a week the worst ones are at something like 17% of wind + solar. So with a strong enough grid we get pretty close. As soon as you add a bit of storage to the grid and overbuilt wind and solar a bit, renewables work just fine.

Honestly we are pretty close to solving it. Most EU countries are at over 50% clean electricity today. Even better Putin caused massive built ups of clean power generation. We are going to be fine, if we continue in that field.

The very simple fact is that we have enough gas right now. So Biden not permitting new LNG terminals in the US is perfectly fine for the EU. Not only that, but LNG is more expensive then pipeline gas and we are reducing gas consumption. So in the coming years we are reducing LNG consumption Also no coal will not be replaced by gas on a large scale in the electricity mix. Right now EU wide it makes up 13% of electricity production and we are adding a lot of renewables to our grid. So coal will be replaced by renewables, instead of fossil gas.

As long as Biden does not cut LNG supply from existing infrastructure in a big way, we will be just fine. The main new customers will be in Asia.

Grünen in Sachsen sind laut dawum bei 7% und Linke bei 5,7%. Die Frage ist auch ob BSW überhaupt antritt. Stadtratswahl und Europawahl habenn keine 5% Hürde in Sachsen.

Lenin, Stalin and Putin are not Romanov's. The Russian Empire collapsed and after a long civil war the Soviet Union was born. Then the Soviet Union collapsed and after some time Putin gained power and turned Russia into the current fascists government it is today.

The problem Russia has is that it is unpopular. So it always has to fight wars. As soon as it is too weak to do so, we see problems occur as countries try to take from Russia, what Russia has stolen. The losses Russia is having are too high for them to ignore. It is only a matter of time, that Belarus starts revolting again, Georgia and Moldova take back their land and Russia will be too weak to do something about that.

For that Russia has to at least freeze the war in Ukraine. With a war going on Russia is always going to be unstable. Loosing a thousand men a day and blowing up money is really not sustainable. At the very least when Putin dies, we will see some intressting events in Russia.

In WW1 Russia had between 1.7-2.25million military deaths from all causes. That obviously has created the Russian Revolution. That was with a fast growing population, which was about as Russias today, but obviously with much more land controlled from St Petersburg.

This is really going to hurt Russia long term. As in Russia will no longer be the most populous country in Europe badly.

Die Ukrainer benutzen E-bikes für die Panzerbekämpfung.

The EU has imported less LNG in the second half of 2023 then 2022. LNG is just more expensive then pipeline gas, so it is the first to go. Furthermore the EU has relativly little electricity generation from coal and most of it will be replaced by clean electricity. Heat pump sales are also rising quickly, with a lot of countries in the EU phasing them out. So gas consumption is going to fall and with that LNG imports.

Die Wirtschaft in China hat Probleme und dass bedeutet die Unternehmen machen dort weniger Geld. Sprich weniger pro China Lobby in Deutschland. Das gilt auch für Investoren, die mittlerweile sehr negativ über China denken. Also gibt es dort mittlerweile sogar eine negative Lobby.

Die Amis machen seit ein paar Jahren auch immer mehr Druck.

Dann hat man Russland, was die Einstellung zu Diktatoren geändert hat. Habeck hat mittlerweile einiges getan um deutschen Unternehmen in China das Leben schwerer zu machen. Das waren allerdings meist nur Subventionen. So langsam kommen wir aus der Gaskrise heraus und China is ganz klar das nächste Problem.

There are three landing ships in the Black Sea, which have not been sunk. There a number of frigates in the Black Sea, which are of similar size, but obviously have a different role.

These landing ships are great to transport freight to Crimea. It seems like Ukraine is targeting them specifically. If they are gone, it would make it a lot harder to resupply Crimea, if somebody were to hit the Kerch bridge.