cross-posted from: https://programming.dev/post/4245345
Definitely a classic. Follows closely what's in the academic literature
(note that this graph changes x-scale for the past 1000 years)
this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2023
380 points (96.3% liked)
Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.
5238 readers
573 users here now
Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.
As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades:
How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world:
Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:
Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
Sharing this graph casually is rather unhelpful despite your note, since most casual observers aren't going to observe the scale change in the X axis, and instead will see only that today is similar to the 12,000 years ago segment.
I think I remember seeing this 5-6 years ago and think we're past the "best case" senario.
Fun tidbit: I read somewhere that a few years ago people needed to sit down and come up with a new worst case scenario for global warming because we hit the previously predicted worst case (and I think exceeded it too.)
Best case is out for sure. Worst case is also looking unlikely thankfully. Probably we’re in for a rough ride but not end of civilization level event. Though that’s still possible which is concerning. Normally you’d think good governance would keep the probability of world-ending catastrophes extremely low. So while those things may be unlikely, they’re still way too possible for us to get comfortable.
Reminder that this was made in 2016 and we are already around +1°C global average. We are welll past best case scenario already
When the ocean start boiling, then we'll deal with it. We will do so by having a conference in Geneva that state leaders fly private jets to, that'll help.
Should I be concerned?
Yes.
If we face this problem head on, if we listen to our best scientists, and act decisively and passionately...I still don't see any way we can survive.
Some days ago a close one whom I usually agree with politically said "climate has always had variations" and "they can’t guess the weather correctly for next week, so how can they predict it for in 50 years". I’ll send them this cartoon tonight I think.
"Last North American Pokemon goes instinct" - had a good chuckle at that.
Seriously though, humanity should get it's head screwed on straight. This is going way too fast for evolution to cope with.
Let's make our language heavily inflected, so future students have to memorize a zillion of verb endings!
Killed me 😂 The message is really alarming but that little humorous detail made my day.
I like the Spinal Tap reference!
I came here to post the same.