this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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Math Memes

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[–] A_Very_Big_Fan@lemmy.world 58 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I feel like there was probably a better way of graphing this tbh

[–] subtext@lemmy.world 28 points 3 days ago

Stacked area has to be better than this right?

[–] mkwt@lemmy.world 19 points 3 days ago (1 children)

There should be a small, but not totally insignificant, probability of EC tie.

[–] Melatonin@lemmy.dbzer0.com 21 points 3 days ago

Which throws it to the house to decide.

We do not want this.

[–] iAmTheTot@sh.itjust.works 17 points 3 days ago (1 children)
[–] grue@lemmy.world 6 points 3 days ago (1 children)
[–] Zorque@lemmy.world 6 points 3 days ago (1 children)

They're at the bottom, where they've always been.

[–] grue@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago

I was just explaining why the D and R mirroring was "almost" rather than exact.

[–] Smorty@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 3 days ago (2 children)
[–] megopie@lemmy.blahaj.zone 11 points 2 days ago

As someone else said, it’s a betting site, and the numbers it is showing are based on how much has been bet on any given candidate.

I think it’s fair to say that it’s not a reliable indicator of actual odds. It’s essentially a money weighted poll from a self selected population (people who would use an online betting site to bet on an election). So, it is not a good random sample of American voters, let alone a random sample of voters from swing states that actually decide the outcome.

[–] Jakeroxs@sh.itjust.works 6 points 2 days ago

It's a stupid betting site

[–] Lux@lemmy.blahaj.zone 9 points 3 days ago (2 children)

What kind of graph is this?

[–] EvacuateSoul@lemmy.world 10 points 3 days ago

Buttplug of best fit

[–] subtext@lemmy.world 11 points 3 days ago

I think it’s just a plain Jane line chart right? The reason it looks like this is because the two lines are n and 100%–n.

You might be thinking of a population pyramid chart which looks somewhat similar to this if it were rotated 90°

[–] marine_mustang@sh.itjust.works 4 points 3 days ago (1 children)
[–] tequinhu@lemmy.world 20 points 3 days ago

Bernoulli was a mathematician: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_distribution

The Probability Distribution named after him models binary variables