this post was submitted on 23 Oct 2024
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Her campaign began with huge fanfare. Now she’s slipping in the polls and making seemingly obvious mistakes. What’s going on?

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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 14 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

She's not blowing it as badly as Clinton did, so she has that going for her!

But it's going to come down to PA, MI, WI.

She's said she won't ban fracking, which means PA is still in play, unlike when Clinton said she'd put coal miners out of work.

She's actually visited MI and WI, unlike Clinton, so that's good. Her dismissal of Arab votes is going to be problematic, but will it be problematic ENOUGH? 🤷‍♂️

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 5 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

She’s said she won’t ban fracking, which means PA is still in play

What?

Support for a total ban keeps waffling and has for years. It literally just flipped from majority ban to majority keep in jist the last two weeks. If polled today it could be either.

But regulation and a halt to expansion is minimally 70%, as high as 90% depending on how it's phrased.

Both trump and Biden deregulated and expanded. Kamala shows no sign of being different.

But my point is, as bad as Clinton was, wanting to ban fracking or not has a negligible effect on Pennsylvania.

Big effect nationally tho, would help elsewhere....

Then there's the whole thing about how fracking needs to be banned which I hope don't need explained.

Like, if the benefit of pissing off the base is negligible and it destroys the local environment and causes more damage than coal....

Why not ban it?

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 2 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Too much of the PA economy is dependent on fracking. If she supported a ban, she'd lose PA.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago

And yet only 0.5% work in fossil fuels....

Although 1.5 million people across Pennsylvania live within half a mile of oil and gas wells, compressors and processors, not all feel as sharply affected by fracking and to win the state’s crucial 19 electoral votes, according to prevailing political thinking, means not threatening an industry that directly employs around 16,000 people, around 0.5 percent of all jobs in the state.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/10/donald-trump-kamala-harris-pennsylvania-fracking-support-dimock-anger-water-wells-contamination/

Read the article, I think it will change your mind. And they present it better than I can.

[–] Sanctus@lemmy.world 9 points 3 weeks ago

I think courting Republicans did far more damage than she realizes.

[–] HuntressHimbo@lemm.ee 9 points 3 weeks ago

This campaign is so frustrating because it feels like all the momentum she got coming in and replacing Biden was just squandered by consistently tacking right. Trump's campaign ads are better at convincing me to vote for Kamala than hers are. I come out of every Trump ad thinking "If Kamala was half as radical as she's being presented I would be so much happier", and more or less the same down ballot too. My congressional candidate is a shitty Zionist and corporate stooge, so hearing them in their own ads makes my blood boil, but the ads run by the opposition make them sound like an actual progressive.

[–] Hobbes_Dent@lemmy.world 4 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

The ~~Superficial State~~ ~~Fourth Estate~~ ~~media~~ ~~news~~ all this shit is what is slipping.