this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2023
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Technology
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I'm not gone yet and I don't know if I actually will be. No matter how frustrated I am with the platform and have been for years now, I don't feel that anything else is ready to replace it.
I wish Lemmy the best but I have my doubts as to how well it'll take off. I remember when Digg died, Reddit was already popular enough to make jumping ship a no brainer for just about everyone. Lemmy is not there yet, and I don't know if it ever will be. It's much smaller than Mastodon/Fediverse, and that's been very slow to pull users away from the even more hated platform it wants to challenge. Can Lemmy achieve the critical mass it needs to succeed?
What's mainly keeping me on Reddit is certain small subs for niche hobbies. Only on the largest platforms is it possible to find people who share my microinterests. Reddit and Discord are it, and Discord really only works as an ephemeral chatroom, it's terrible for news or threaded discussion. Not to mention how much of a problem it is that Discord isn't indexed by search engines.
I understand that although im really excited about lemmy :D I think the new users far exceeded the critical mass expectations of what the lemmy staff were ready for at least
Its only the first major wave of people, the Reddit blackout should cause more people to head over here and we have an active group creating content for the next few days hopefully. Reddit has another major wave when Apollo and RIF shut down, but we only benefit from that if the site is alive for the next 2 weeks after the blackout but that last wave should be the largest due to a lot of people really not wanting to use the official app. There's a chance this kills reddit and spez did not do his AMA well at all
I think you've hit the nail on the head. The two biggest issues with Lemmy and the fediverse are:
Way too confusing for non tech savvy people. I get that all of the fediversians say "it's easy one you fiddle around with it". And sure, that may be the case, but the average user just isn't going to stick around and try to figure that out. It's not user friendly at all. Imo it's probably the biggest roadblock to widespread adoption.
Niche communities just don't exist in the fediverse. I hear many commenters here state how they enjoy the "small town feel", but imo that's the opposite of what Reddit is about. Reddit is all about the niche communities for whatever interest you may have. Want to see videos only of huskies screaming? Want to see pics of bread stapled to trees? Do you have mold growing on something in your house and want someone to identify it? Want to discuss your niche unpopular TV show that aired 20 years ago? There is even a niche sub for my specific profession when there are no forums dedicated to the topic. Reddit has you covered. Lemmy just isn't nearly big enough for that stuff yet and unfortunately I don't know that it will ever make it. Yeah, you can make your own communities, but that doesn't at all mean there will be users to sustain it.
Regardless, we're in for some interesting times and I'll definitely be playing around with Lemmy and kbin. Hope everyone is well.