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I have a bad feeling Threads will turn into this. I mean it's literally called threads. Kind of up ends the "threadiverse" name.
Not with a 500-character post limit, it’s not. If it decides to change from Instagram in a Twitter suit to Instagram in a Twitter suit in a Reddit flying saucer…?
That's kind of how instagram has worked... went from Photo Twitter with filters, to video, then to a Snapchat rip-off, then to a TikTok rip-off. Each time they pretty much forgot about the previous functions and promoted the new style and penalized the old one in the algorithms.
I'll have to take your word for how Instagram has developed, since I have used Instagram for a total of about 15 minutes, and found it confusing and unpleasant. And it's definitely a good argument for expecting them to shift ground and go for what's left of Reddit, (maybe after they've mopped up what's left of Twitter, which might not take long, since Twitter is busily mopping itself up).
When I say "Instagram in a Twitter skin," I'm going off articles saying that Threads uses Instagram's algorithm, which seems a little less likely to change than the user interface/general style...? I can try to find my exact sources, if you like. It seems like Meta might have business justifications for adding a separate Reddit-replacement service, though there could be equally strong reasons to morph Threads for that purpose. I'm morbidly interested in seeing how it develops.
The main difference between Reddit and Threads is the length and formatting possible for posts. Reddit of course has no limit, but Threads is inspired by Twitter, of course, and Twitter historically did 140 characters and now 280. Threads' limit is 500. Then, Reddit has subs/communities of course while Twitter is focused on following users and hashtags. It's a somewhat subtle difference but is significant. So, all Meta would have to do to make Threads like Reddit is to have a system for communities, and relax the length limit. (I don't actually believe they're interested in that, btw).
Algorithms for feeds actually do change a fair bit over time. For instance, YouTube's has changed a lot and used to recommend a lot more new things based on what other people who watched a video also watched, and now it recommends a lot of videos you already watched. Facebook went to a lot more 'a friend of yours liked' type posts. Twitter did too, apparently. I wouldn't be surprised if they use the IG algo as a starting point but adapt it to Threads over time.