this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2023
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I do have to wonder if Reddit knows something we don't... This is.. wayyy too much to ignore. I assume they've done analysis of the worse cases and mass user departure. The only reason I can assume they're not backing down is due to the very high upfront costs of Reddit. Less users = less costs which theoretically means more profit. You have a very good point, and its something all Lemmy server owners need to be prepared for, which is a huge influx of users joining on the blackouts, even then, it may not be enough, unintentional DDOS attacks are still DDOS attacks. This is a golden opportunity of a lifetime for Lemmy, but I fear with even a 10th of Reddits current userbase, Lemmy admins won't be able to keep up... I feel for all the developers and admins that make Lemmy possible, and I really hope it goes well for everyone involved. Donate to server admins and the main project if you have a few dollars spare, or if anyone is comfortable with coding I'm sure they need some devs.
Reddit knows something we do know: that Lemmy is still young and still has some serious issues with scaling. By pulling the plug and dumping that many people on Lemmy now, all those people will be met with an error page instead of a viable Reddit alternative, driving them back to Reddit.
I can only hope it doesn't actually play out like this…
This was my initial experience. Tried Lemmy, it wouldn't let me sign up. Back to reddit. Tried again a day later (yesterday) on a different instance and it worked. People who aren't so persistent might not try again though 🤷♂️