politics
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
view the rest of the comments
100%. The Conservative party is currently leading polls here in Canada because of the unpopularity of Justin Trudeau.
The Conservative party are also conspiracy-loving, reality-denying loonies like the Republicans, but since "we're Canada", and "it can't happen here", they'll probably form the government next year.
The one upside of trump beating a deeply unpopular Biden would be it might give JT the impetus to acknowledge reality and move on.
Stop. I see your thinly veiled disinformation intention. Biden is not unpopular "deeply" enough for Trump to beat him.
As long as almost every pollster is wrong, sure you've got a point.
I don't believe in polls because they all said Hilary was going to win. They also said that Trump was going to win again. Those polls mean nothing. For all I care, they're being manipulated by Russia, China, North Korea and Iran.
This is the silliest MAGA style conspiracy nonsense...
You not understanding polling doesn't mean they are disinformation, that's a ridiculous thing to say. Or, maybe just like now, you dismissed information that you disliked and as such had another misinformed understanding of things.
Polling aggregators like 538 said that trump had a 1/3 chance of winning and the thing about 1/3 chances is that they happen about 1/3 times!
And then trump damn near won 2020 and lost by under 12,000 votes in one state. You can't get much closer than that!
What a goof.
You're still here?
Leave, please.
?
This is like when conservatives deny climate change because it is unpleasant.
Why do you think the polls were pretty much dead on for the 2022 midterms? Just blind luck?
Except they weren't. Every poll presented all across social media was OMG RED WAVE!! Polls are shit. The only one that matters EVER is the one on election day.
This sounds like a you problem.
If you got your news from non social media and looked at polls, not punditry, you'd have known the most likely outcome was pretty much what happened, the Republicans won a narrow majority.
Don't blame polling for your ignorance.
Edit: If you want an interesting (okay, interesting to nerds like me) recounting of the polling in 2022:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/
You should try stomping around the room and yelling at the screen.
Polls are shit. Only one poll counts. Even the article you posted has a self-inserted bias.
There is a 50% chance of rain today
?
If Clinton had paid attention to them, trump might not have won.
With what part do you disagree? They post all the methodology and results. Or are you just "this person works in polling so I can't trust them despite them laying out everything for me to see!"
You haven't presented a logical thought just "I DISLIKE POLLS" which is pretty silly.
You may not like what the polls say but that doesn't mean they aren't valid kiddo. As you grow up, you'll realize that lots of things that are unpleasant are still true no matter how much we wish otherwise. Throwing a tantrum doesn't change the validity of polling.
Meanwhile, Nate Silver is pissed that Rassmuessen has been purged. Golly.
I've read they've been dropped, haven't seen a response from Silver. Is this a social media thing?
Edit: Though if your trying to argue that polling is inaccurate because Nate Silver has an issue with what his former outfit is doing, ooooooooh boy.
That'd be as dumb as saying rockets don't actually wor because, most of the scientists who did the pioneering work were working for the literal Nazis!