Collapse

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This is the place for discussing the potential collapse of modern civilization and the environment.

Collapse, in this context, refers to the significant loss of an established level or complexity towards a much simpler state. It can occur differently within many areas, orderly or chaotically, and be willing or unwilling. It does not necessarily imply human extinction or a singular, global event. Although, the longer the duration, the more it resembles a ‘decline’ instead of collapse.

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#271: “Peak almost everything”, part one (surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com)

submitted 8 months ago by eleitl@lemmy.ml to c/collapse@lemmy.ml

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[–] eleitl@lemmy.ml 2 points 8 months ago

The author has been working on the SEEDS model for about two decades. The projections are reasonable, since it is about lack of new fossil energy reserve discovery at long-term declining EROEI and new growth coming largely from debt. The fight of technology against geology has been valiant, but ultimatively doomed. If anything the model is perhaps too conservative, since it underestimates EROEI decline and does not address the Seneca effect.

See the other posts in this community for different angles on the same problem.