this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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I'm a lot more optimistic (aka naive) than most it seems.
I'm really new to all this fediverse stuff, but I believe we can't lose what we already have, people that are here before Threads, will probably be here after Threads, since we already made that decision to leave reddit or twitter, to leave all that behind is a big social sacrifice.
My red line for Threads will be if they start to mess with the standards and the ActivityPub protocol, acting in bad faith.
People can and will be willing to go back to the corporate side if their service are perceived to be better. Reminder, Reddit wasnt in this situation for years, carried by decades of unpaid volunteer work, it is only when they pushed the line too hard that we moved to other alternative, despite being the same company as they ever: profit first, user second. If Meta could pull off a better service, and looking at the money at their disposal, its highly likely, it wont be far fetched to predict users would move to Threads for better integration, and leave other servers years behind, and when Threads makes the move to extinguish, our community would have been too far behind to ever recover our stand.
It wont be the first, or even second time it happened. IE did it, Microsoft Office did it, Chrome did it (to a lesser extent), by this point, we should be suspicious of any move by big corps, just by the sheer ease of them pulling it off.