this post was submitted on 01 Feb 2024
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I don't see a ban happen for a number of reasons. Especially not if you want to ban the transport of goods (including intercontinental mail) as well.
Not to mention the fact that, short of replacing everything with sailboats, I doubt moving everything from plane to ship would necessarily be an improvement for the environment.
Better ground transportation could be a big game changer. At the moment I could either fly to London for a couple hundred quid at a convenient time of day within 4-5 hours door-to-door, or I could spend a substantially higher amount on a train ride that takes three times as long and requires me to change trains at least twice in the middle of the night.
This is such an annoyance, not just from an environmental point of view. Even here in Germany, where we really do have a pretty great train network (mind you, the network is great, not necessarily the "adhering to time schedules"-part), it's sometimes cheaper and faster to fly from city to city than to ride the literal Inter City Express trains, whose sole purpose it is to quickly connect far-away mid-to-large cities.