this post was submitted on 20 Jan 2024
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Donald Trump Jr. recently claimed that his father, Donald Trump, was eyeing Tucker Carlson as a possible 2024 vice president pick, RadarOnline.com has learned.

In a surprising development to come after ex-President Trump won the Iowa Caucus in a landslide victory on Monday night, Don Jr. appeared on Newsmax to discuss potential running mates for his father for the general election later this year.

Yes, I know this is a POS news source. It does seem to be on-brand for the entire trump family, though.

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[–] Everythingispenguins@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Life expectancy as just a single number is a pretty useless static. It says almost nothing about any single individual. First off usually when not specified a single LE number is a life expectancy at birth. So that 79.25 years is likely for a baby born this year in the US.

Second and more importantly as you age your life expectancy goes up. Basically you have out lived every one who has died and dragged the average down. At 77 you are expected to have 9 more years of life. It is not until you are 111 that you are more likely to die this year than not.

Statistics are a funny thing

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html

[–] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

It is not until you are 111 that you are more likely to die this year than not.

No, that starts at age 106 as shown by the first column in your link.

Statistics really are a funny thing.

[–] Everythingispenguins@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Are you sure? The first column is just real age. At age 106 it says that life expectancy is 1.36 years. If I am reading this wrong please tell me.

[–] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

It's the column adjacent to age, labeled "death probability". It surpasses 0.5 at 106 for men, 107 for women.

Life expectancy doesn't tell you this probability. Imagine you had ten 106 year olds. Five die this year, two die next year, one dies after two years, one dies after three years, and one dies after four years. One year survival probability is 0.5, but life expectancy is greater than 1 year.

[–] Everythingispenguins@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

Yep yep got you now