this post was submitted on 22 Nov 2023
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Do we have probability numbers yet for likelihood of accident? And if so, would that satisfy "extremely likely?" The letter of the law can be fickle.
When you have millions of units on the road, a one in a billion chance of the error killing someone on a drive is pretty much a guarantee.
I don't know if that's the reasoning that will hold up in court. Would a judge say a 1 in a billion chance is "extremely likely? That reasoning would apply to all cars in general wouldn't it? Driving is potentially dangerous no matter what car you drive. People are guaranteed to die in car accidents everyday just by sheer volume and that would be true if Tesla didn't exist.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not apologizing for them. I'm just dubious of getting a conviction.
It's not that people die crashing them, or even that a manufacturing/software defect causes the deaths.
It's that Tesla knew that there was a software error that would almost certainly cause somebody to die, and intentionally chose not to address the issues for financial reasons. That's textbook depraved indifference.
Reminds me of that cost of a recall calculation scene from Fight Club.
And that's exactly why the depraved indifference rule exists.