this post was submitted on 18 Jun 2023
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Politics
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Polling has gotten really difficult because so it's much harder to reach people by phone. Republican primary voters are more likely to be old people with landlines, so I would expect polls of them to be more accurate and any inaccuracies to favor Trump.
I thought so as well, but I literally just read this and my opinion of polls has changed:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy
It’s a fascinating and educating read. Essentially, polls last year were historically accurate.