this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2023
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It's one way, another way to is reduce demand, either by taxing the crap out of leaded fuel or by restricting how much of it airports are allowed to sell.
Setting a deadline just delays the fight because refineries know they can postpone the drama for another few years. Let's say they already know how to make unleaded aviation fuel with enough octane for these older engines, but that it's more expensive to produce, why would they make it available before the deadline? Just keep producing the old fuel until the last possible moment.
The Senate version does one more thing besides setting a deadline: it requires airports to switch to unleaded fuel when it becomes available. For any location served by more than one refinery, that creates a powerful financial incentive to shift: if you don't, your competitors might, and take a market away from you.
I'd say it's well-designed
Maybe. I'd rather just see leaded fuel being penalized instead of threatening to ban it. That should have the same incentive, but with financial instead of legal pressure.
I'd rather not have a world where rich dudes can pay extra for the privilege of wafting lead into kids lungs, but I think we're going to just have to disagree on this.
Nobody wants lead in kids lungs. However, eliminating that completely eliminates a long standing privilege because there currently is no cleaner fuel. So we have three options:
Both Democrats and Republicans are proposing the second option, with Democrats switching to the first after a few years. I'm proposing the third.
Last year, the FAA approved the first unleaded fuel that works for all existing small piston-driven propeller aircraft.
It's available today on a regional basis. Taking it national is basically a matter of forcing refiners to produce it (or one of the equivalents currently in development)
Reduce flying until it's more widely available would be a great move too.
Cool, so I think we should tax the use of leaded gas a lot higher than unleaded to encourage ramping up production of the new fuel. If we follow the Democrat plan, there's no real reason to ramp up production quickly, they'll just take their time.
There is reason to ramp up though: as the unleaded fuel becomes available locally, airports are required to switch. So in any location served by more than one refinery, one refinery can grab market share by starting production of unleaded aviation gas.
Maybe? I guess it depends on how quickly the competition will step up. I guess one argument is that a refinery could lock out competitors if they're the first to convert in a region, but i don't know how competitive those contracts actually are. I know oil companies fix prices to an extent, so I'm just assuming that refineries are similar. So I guess I'm not optimistic that refineries wouldn't just agree to convert slowly.