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I have to wonder how much of Reddit's traffic is bots and lurkers though.
Post quality is a bigger indicator, and that does seem to be dropping. This is why Reddit banning 3rd party apps was such a big deal. It doesn't matter if 99% of your users use the official app if 99% of the content posted to the side is posted by the 1% that don't.
As someone who was around for the digg migration, it didn't drop off overnight (hell digg.com is still around), but they gradually bled content until everyone was on Reddit. Lemmy right now is very reminiscent of early Reddit.
That's the thing - it's hard to track this. If anything it'll be a slow decline
Not at all. I can already see a decline in the number of Reddit TTS videos I see on my feed and when I do, they're mostly years old
Easy to see anecdotally, hard to define quantitatively. Reddit is never going to publicize that sort of thing as a metric: "ratio of bot activity to subscribed member activity" would be great but we'll never see those numbers.
TTS?
Text to speech. There are Tiktok accounts that just scrape popular text posts from Reddit and read them out through text to speech over a video of something like Minecraft parkour or Subway Surfers.
Agreed and not just content creators but active users in general. I bet someone like me who now on average posts 10 messages a day to Lemmy was more valuable to reddit than 10 lurkers.