this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2024
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I get the logic was sound at the time but the logic seems to assume that this is all a game with predefined rules and strategy.
Like yeah, incumbents typically won before, but would that hold up when everyone had an audible groan about voting for Biden?
I feel like most of political strategy could be replaced by just trying to understand the people voting, rather than bundling up correlations into strategy and blindly following them.
Like I feel like if you talked to most random average people, they'd have told you about the oppressive hopelessness they're feeling. Maybe they don't know why they feel that, but the general mood from everyone is that nothing's actively good is going to happens.
So of course getting a new candidate with a hope themed campaign will reawaken our passion, incumbent be damned.