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If SCOTUS strikes down the PROTECT Act, it will be a very sad day for the country. It will effectively overturn any conviction that Act was used to secure, though I think his case is probably the most prominent conviction to date. I think he's only seeking reversal on the Chicago one to use as precedent for the New York one. Or to "try again" if that doesn't work. When you're facing 30+ years, can't hurt to try, I guess...
Highly doubt that would happen. If anything, the current court would the project 2025 censorship agenda and support the Protect Act provisions that were already (correctly) struck down in Ashcroft v. Free Speech Coalition (it was just that time's edition of the overbroad "protect the children!!!" bill that did some good and some bad; most of what remains today and hasn't been struck down is good though). ~~It's also not the law criminalizing CP so that could be where his argument might fail.~~ (nevermind; he's talking about the provision that extends the statute of limitations)