bioemerl

joined 1 year ago
[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 25 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

That's not how that works. Bonds cannot just be asked back like that, they mature over a standard set of time. All you can do is try to sell them to other countries.

And if you do, you're just going to drive down the cost of US debt, the Fed will have to increase interest rates so that people buy from the fed instead. Basically all they're going to be able to do is put a lower bound on American interest rates.

That would be bad, but at the end of the day if the US government needs to fund itself it can still print money.

Also a fire sale on US debt means they have to actually trade it for something. That would create a massive correction in the Chinese economy as there surplus of excess capital and trade turns into a huge deficit, all the factory jobs disappear, American manufacturing booms, and they get the value of what they've produced over the last 20 years that since on the dollar as they fire sell the United States bonds.

Lose lose lose lose lose. I would happily encourage the Chinese to try to do this.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 7 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

That's ( fixed, messed up mah conversion) .1wh for a second of 3090 time/ 30 images a second.

If a 3090 drew 3 watt hours in 1/30th of a second it would melt.

Possibly off by one order of magnitude though... Editing post to see, and it looks like I was. 300 images per charge instead of 3000.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 17 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

This is outdated in a big way with stable diffusion turbo and the recent LCM models that can render images at 30fps on a 3090.

360w * 1s /60 seconds a minute / 60 minutes an hour = .1 wh/image

30 images a second? .033 wh

A phone battery is 3000 mah * 3.5volts = 10.5 wh

318 images per phone charge

My math is probably off, but you get the idea.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 5 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

is doing that by lifting restrictions it previously had on the number of kids per family.

No. They are trying to culturally push people to have kids now. Dropping one child not only didn't work, their birth rates went down since then.

Putin asking Russians to make more kids won’t magically improve demographics

No, but Putin can do more than ask. So can China.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Money gets around and the government has a history of nailing people in unexpected ways.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 48 points 11 months ago (2 children)

1 - Russia tries to force migrants into Finland.

2 - Finland closes borders.

3 - Russia forced to accept migrants.

Perfect outcome.

[–] bioemerl@kbin.social 8 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Kids are cheap. All you really need is food and people.

Schools and car seats and houses are expensive, but if a generation has tons of kids, you'll have the manpower to make those things in 15 years.

Russia is kind of fucked right now and not only in demographic decline, but making it worse by killing half their young people. Will they pull out of it? Probably not.

But can they afford it? They absolutely can. And it's bad news for the rest of the world if they do. Don't underestimate this move. Especially because China is doing the same.

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