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There's no possible way Truth Social is worth that much. DWAC is a scheme to launder retail investor's money directly into Donald Trump's pocket.
That's not how valuation works.
If it goes public with a large share price he would STILL need to sell shares to someone willing to spend enough to bail him out.
And they are already saying no.
But they'd say yes if they owned a piece of his social media outlet? No, they could ask that of him now.
He's not really taking Truth Social public, though. He is letting it be acquired by DWAC, whose sole purpose for existing is to acquire Truth Social. DWAC is public, and has been pumped hard by Trump supporters thinking it will make them rich.
As far as I can tell, his plan is to have DWAC acquired it at an insanely high valuation, cashing himself out at their expense. his fans who invested heavily will be left holding the bag..... And will likely still vote for him!
This is also, at soonest, weeks away. When New York State will likely be selling off his assets to pay his debt to the state, this may be on the chopping block, lol.
Letitia James isn’t just looking at his properties, she’s also looking at his investments.
That values Truth Social at $6 billion. Reddit's IPO valued it at $6.4 billion.
Even if $6B is what is implied by whatever is happening, you need a buyer who is willing to pay Trump that valuation 6 months after the acquisition. Just no way it can stand up to that valuation, it does not have the users for it. 2 million active users to Reddits 500 million.
Not to mention...who wants to buy it? I mean, the selling point there is basically Trump, for Trump fans, right? So if Trump exits, what's the appeal?
I mean, nobody's going to Reddit because they want to read spez's comments. If spez leaves, it's not a big deal. But I don't think that Truth Social is in that position.
googles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truth_Social
It looks like it's basically a custom Mastodon frontend:
Truth Social is modeled heavily after Twitter; users are able to make posts ("Truths", similar to tweets) and share other users' posts ("ReTruths", similar to retweets).[62] The Truth Social platform uses a custom version of the free and open-source social network hosting software Mastodon as its backend, which omits several features, including polls and post visibility options.[12]
The platform uses the Soapbox frontend instead of Mastodon's native frontend.[63] TMTG has advertised for developers with skills in using Elixir, the programming language used to build Pleroma.[64]
On October 21, 2021, the Software Freedom Conservancy group stated they suspected Truth Social had violated Mastodon's AGPLv3 license by not offering its source code to all users.[65][66][67][68] The Mastodon developers then formally requested that Truth Social comply with the terms of the software license,[69] with Truth Social publishing its source code as a ZIP file on the website on November 12, 2021.[70][71] On February 22, 2022, the source code download was moved to the website's legal section.[72] A mirror of the source code is available at GitHub, where it was uploaded by uninvolved individuals.[73]
The source is already available, too. So you're really just buying the userbase.
I just can't see it making a lot of sense for a buyer. It probably has a non-zero value, but I have a hard time believing that it's worth all that much.
This truly is the dumbest timeline.
this post was submitted on 21 Mar 2024
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