this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2023
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forecasting

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Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.

Related community: !predictions@lemmy.ca

Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.

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copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de
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What will GPT-2030 look like? (bounded-regret.ghost.io)
submitted 1 year ago by copacetic@discuss.tchncs.de to c/forecasting@discuss.tchncs.de
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Thus in summary, GPT2030 could automate almost all mathematics research as well as important parts of other research areas, and it could be a powerful vector of misuse regarding both cyberattacks and persuasion/manipulation. Much of its impact would be limited by “oversight bottlenecks”, so if it could run autonomously for long periods of time then its impact may be larger still.

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