Better title:
EU still setting policy based on projections of oil lobbying organisation in spite of 20 straight years of failure on analyais that can be performed by a highschool student with a pencil and some log paper.
In spite of best efforts to stop it, targets are exceeded yet again. Set back distance, mandatory consultation with crisis actors, and byzantine permitting requirements for wind to increase again next year. We haven't thought of anything that will slow down solar yet, but we'll keep trying.
The IEA has no credibility nor do wood mac. The most charitable interpretation of their continued failures for projections (sometimes even failing to project that solar will ever grow or coal will ever shrink to the previous year's numbers) on the energy transition after having the flaws pointed out repeatedly is rank incompetence. Given the board's career history and the membership criteria this is a pretty long reach though.