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It won't. 95% of applications would be just fine with garbage collection, and the extra complexity of Rust's memory model will make it so that current Javascript developers never use it. Go is more likely to win (but honestly, just a more lightweight JS runtime with a more lightweight UI framework would be fine by me)
a native gui framework doesn't necessarily mean that one will have to write the application in rust: even today, when rust gui libs are in their very infancy, some already provide bindings to other languages (js included)
cross-platform native gui frameworks are super hard, but having a language that's more accessible than c++, more modern and safe, will hopefully bring this closer to reality