this post was submitted on 18 Dec 2023
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[–] RaincoatsGeorge@lemmy.zip 47 points 9 months ago (31 children)

Polls are completely unreliable, especially this far out. They predicted trumps loss the first go around and we endured 4 years of that POS. They predicted red waves the last 2 election cycles and it never manifested.

Its a problem with the techniques they're using to gather data I guess. Whether it's the cold calling or what, I don't know, but it clearly isn't effective to get honest assessments anymore.

That being said it will never not blow my mind that it's even slightly close. Last election millions of Americans sat through 4 years of trump and said yep that worked out great for me. Everyone I talked to who was in that camp had various incorrect reasons but you don't need to be right, you just have to feel like you're right.

I think the reality is that Biden is not and has never been a popular candidate. His age works against him. Kamala is equally unappealing and doesn't help things either. The biggest problem right now is that Biden has come out very strongly pro Israel (which every single president has done including Trump) and he has not done enough to condemn the Israeli genocide. Millenials and Gen z are at the very least anti genocide and largely pro Palestine so that's not helping his case, although they're short sighted if they assume Trump would be the better answer here.

If Trump wins our democracy is over. 'Oh you're overreacting'. Yeah they said that to me before Trumps presidency and I was correct then as I am correct now.

We have to get through 24 and not have a deranged traitorous lunatic take the reigns of the country again. We can discuss the next steps in the post Trump era but we won't get the option to discuss it if Trump somehow wins.

Vote like you value this country. Convince others to vote. Apathy is a vote for Trump. Choosing not to vote for Biden because you're anti Israel is voting for Trump, who is also going to continue right along supporting Israel.

[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 4 points 9 months ago (4 children)

We have to get through 24 and not have a deranged traitorous lunatic take the reigns of the country again. We can discuss the next steps in the post Trump era but we won’t get the option to discuss it if Trump somehow wins.

This has been every election since 2012, and the discussion doesn't happen.

[–] RaincoatsGeorge@lemmy.zip 22 points 9 months ago (19 children)

No I don't think that's accurate. If McCain or Romney had won I never had a fear that our democracy would have eroded. I certainly wouldn't have agreed with all of their policy choices but both men I think are old guard politicians and would have largely done the job with an undercurrent of honor that just doesn't exist with trump. I never would have had any fear that if they lost the next election they wouldn't peacefully turn over power.

With trump all of that has changed. The only reason his coup didn't work is because most everyone involved was dense as fuck and couldn't come up with a cohesive strategy to get it done. Give him another chance and 4 years to prepare and he will find success.

Biden is not the candidate I wanted, but he's the candidate we've got, and in our broken political system that's as good as it's going to get. We can talk about 3rd parties and changing the system but none of that is happening before 24.

The polls are right about one thing. Trump definitely could win again. That should be very alarming to any rational American.

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[–] return2ozma@lemmy.world 5 points 9 months ago (2 children)

2020: "Elect Biden and once he's POTUS then we can push him left!" ... They never pushed him left.

[–] Thecornershop@lemmy.world 8 points 9 months ago (10 children)

So vote for the white nationalist Fascist instead?? Yeah that's what the left should do.

How about instead you get this drowning US democracy onto the safety of the beach then you can start resuscitating it.

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[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 5 points 9 months ago

Precisely. It was a steaming crock of shit then, and has no credibility as a message now.

[–] Gradually_Adjusting@lemmy.world 1 points 9 months ago (3 children)

The game is rigged, and if you lose people die. Potentially heaps of them.

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[–] Viking_Hippie@lemmy.world 1 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

And that's one of the main reasons why Biden is the candidate AND why most people who weren't alive the last time the US had a president to the left of Reagan don't trust the DNC much.

[–] Rolder@reddthat.com 3 points 9 months ago

I reckon the techniques they use favor older people. For example, I can see a boomer answering a cold call no problem, but I couldn’t say the same for a younger generation.

[–] ShellMonkey@lemmy.socdojo.com 1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

A part of the problem with the 'get through 24' thought line is that Trump and the circus surrounding him has morphed into something that's functionally it's own entity with a R painted on it for convenience. That whole branch of the political tree has become some sort of monstrosity that the few remaining normal-ish conservatives fear to cross lest they become a target just like everyone else who's an 'other'.

[–] Ensign_Crab@lemmy.world 2 points 9 months ago

The rest of the problem with the "get through 24" message is that it will become "get through 28" the day after election day.

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