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Given how they were treated after voting down Jordan, I would think this would make them more likely to just cave in and vote for whoever the MAGA wing vomits up next. We already have multiple insiders from the party confirming that multiple members have voted MAGAs way out of literal fear for their own safety or the safety of their families, up to the point where this is what probably saved Trump from being the first President to be removed from office. It's why I said #3 is most likely. The moderates will cave either out of exhaustion, frustration, or fear. Or all of the above.
Any current Republican who decides to work with Democrats is effectively leaving the party and will receive countless death threats as a result. Look at what just happened with Jordan. The political suicide of working with Dems may be the least of their problems at that point. Some of these people may feel they're in a position where voting MAGA may be their only viable option to not only save their political careers but ensure their own and family's safety as well. Their choices really are boiling down to "Vote MAGA", "Commit Political Suicide", and "Commit political suicide and be forced to hire a security detail for your family for the foreseeable future."
If these people do this, though (and again, it's not likely to happen), it will be because they are representing districts that are not as far down the MAGA rabbit hole, and they are making the political calculation that they would be better off that way. This includes taking the threats into account, but they may be representing districts where the MAGA is a minority, and more importantly, they trust local and state law enforcement to protect them.
It is fitting that Republicans refer to their internal groups as the "Five Families", becauwe they really are being run like Mafia families, with all the threats and intimidation that implies.