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I don't think republicans will support even a conservative Democrat for speaker. Republicans are technically the majority. I think that Democrats would help elect a Republican combined with minority rights voted into the house rules.
They already laid out their conditions for who they’d support. The bar is not very high,
But are they still the majority of you assume the freedom caucus is in fact not part of the Republican Party?
It probably wouldn’t last very long; but the closer we get to it, the more likely some relatively moderate Republicans will defect to protect their seats- join dems long enough to get another spending deal done and maybe some Israel/Ukraine aid before it all collapses into a dumpster fire full of shit again.
Moderation is an ugly word for both parties right now. The two most conservative Senate Democrats Sinema (now an independent who causes with Democrats) and manchin are not loved by the Democratic base. That frustration with moderation is on the republican side too. Any republicans who work with Democrats to elect a speaker will get primaried. I don't think any republicans will "defect to protect" themselves. I think they'll work with Democrats just because they know how bad it'll be for America, and their party, if the government shuts down.
Up here in Canada, being the majority only affords you the opportunity to form government.
If you can't form it, someone else gets a shot at it.
Not our fault they can't form it even with a majority.