this post was submitted on 03 Oct 2023
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If by enormous victory you mean they'll get tons of likes on social media, sure.
The thing is, the Speaker defines the agenda of the House, which means so long as the speaker is weak (say, by being beholden to the MAGA coalition) the Republican agenda is not being fulfilled.
Also, so long as the MAGA coalition is seeking to obstuct must-pass bills (such as budgets and raising borrowing limits) the more they risk a shutdown or the new Speaker also reaching across the aisle.
In the latter case, it means the budget bill will be delightfully boring and should include social benefit programs that are already in effect. And it won't include any anti-LGBT+ riders, since no Democrat will have their name on a bill with that kind of poison pill.
In the former case then the people suffer from the delays during the shutdown. Federal employees are hit pretty hard as well. Military readiness is disrupted. And everyone knows the extremist Republicans did it for identity-war points. This means those officials will lose votes and face a greater likelihood of a substantial primary challenger. It also means Biden will have a better chance of seeing a second term. We remember our shutdowns and resent those responsible. So far, no-one has ever been able to change the narrative.