this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2022
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[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 3 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Still, the number of exports doesn’t met the amounts they were exporting to Europe even if the new pipeline is finished. In short: China is not going to replace Europe in the energy front, and that’s crystal clear. I’m not sure how many times this needs to be repeated.

In short, demand for Russian energy exports isn't going anywhere. You're also making a baseless claim that Russia will not be making more pipelines to the east in the future. Pakistan already asked Russia for a pipeline just last month for example. With manufacturing moving out of Europe, the demand for energy in Asia will grow proportionally, and that energy has the same source.

Your whole premise is nonsense, yet you keep doubling down on it. It's absolutely amazing that you can't understand supply and demand mechanics.

No we are not. You are comparing countries that have energy imports cut off (the effects are pretty fast) to a country that has cut off imports on other areas (effects are more slow). The situation could be only compared if both Europe and Russia would be dependent on same things.

Ah, so you're finally admitting that Europe is more dependent on Russia than the other way around. And following this basic logic it becomes obvious that the longer the trade war goes the worse off Europe will be economically relative to Russia.

Ok, let’s see what it says… Retail sales fell 8,8% in August, wages fell over 3%, gas cutoff hits about 6,6 billion dollars, 55% of oil exports are lost, metal producers are losing 5,7 billion per year, EU restrictions have tripled the cost of road shipments, 95% of passenger planes are foreign-made planes now without spare parts, with pharmaceuticals about 80% of domestic production relies on imported raw materials. So far I haven’t seen Russia itself releasing this kind of stats. Have you?

Russia releases stats about the economy regularly, which include price increases, wages, and so on.

Meanwhile, you just make stuff up as usual. For example, sanctions on plane spare parts were lifted back in August. So, yeah I don't see made up stats from Russia.

And what are you going to do with all the roubles when you can’t change them to other currency?

Huh, Russia exchanges roubles for all kinds currencies with yuan and rupees being two key ones. There's a whole new financial system forming outside of SWIFT right now. The amount of ignorance on display here is just stunning.