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Damn I'm misinformed I really thought it was weakening.
It never hit cat 4. It was a lower cat 3. It was traveling quite fast and didn’t have a chance to do any eye wall replacements before landfall. So it actually weakened a bit (the first part of the replacement cycle) when it hit landfall.
Keaton, Perry and Valdosta are probably gonna get fucked up. Unfortunately Perry is quite rural. Theres not a lot of money there, lots of folks in trailers and substandard housing and thus, its more dangerous.
But this wasn’t a “Michael” event. It does seem the NHS took a different tact this year on their predictions and warnings. Not of the major intensity models had it hitting a 4 (hwrf, hmon, etc). But they were saying it anyway. Had some folks panicking quite a bit in my area.
They were right in that a major hadn’t hit Appalachee bay, but that’s because Mexico beach and cape san blas are like, 10 minutes west of that demarcation point.