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https://daily.jstor.org/gender-incommensurability-in-sports/ An interesting take on gender separation in sports.
Seen this before. It is a great read I recommend for people.
The simple truth is, if being a trans woman were such an immense competitive advantage in sports, we would've seen a lot of them performing at the top levels. We should see AT LEAST the same sample representation of trans women athletes as the greater population of trans women, and indeed should see far more than that.
We don't.
Professional sports is such an insanely elite field that we should expect any microscopic physical advantage would get multiplied into a dominating force.
Again, we don't see this happening with trans women.
No one was even looking out for it. It could've slipped completely under the radar. But those elite, successful trans women athletes? They are a severely, severely underrepresented minority. Not only are they not winning left right and center -- they're barely present at all.
That's not even facing the much more fundamental questions like "does sportsmanship really override someone's autonomy of body and genuine identity" or "since when did we start caring about women's sports so much that it was worth passing insane laws about it" and all the like. And also the scientific and medical fact that gender and sex are a spectrum, not a binary. A bimodal distribution for sure, but a spectrum nevertheless.