this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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they are protected by geography
iirc somewhere in the city there is a factory that for some time was the only manufacturer of RDX in entire russia, and under direct control of FSB. it could be the same plant, but i'm not sure about it
another juicy target nearby is Motovilikha plant
Lot of places in Russia have been until they weren't.
It sounds like this plant may have been accessible in this conflict even prior to long-range airstrikes getting longer range.
https://www.newsweek.com/multiple-dead-after-mysterious-explosion-russian-ammunition-plant-1702608
they are protected by geography in that sense that any long range attack is a bespoke affair, uses rare and costly weapons and requires coordination of many assets. considering its value it could be expected that there are some GBAD nearby, and long distance makes it more likely for drones to be shot down by russian jets, like it's done more commonly in western doctrine. i think it's probable that long range strikes are only conducted when ukrainians have intelligence about weakened air defences