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if I didn't know any better, I'd assume the polls are being manipulated to keep participation high on both ends.
Part of me sure wants to say, "is it?" The media wants a horse race. Any foregone conclusion wouldn't get people on the edge of their seats on election day.
The fact that this is possibly the case, and maybe even almost certainly so, is fucking aggravating.
However, I do believe this race is stupidly close, just because I have so little respect for a large proportion of the American electorate. When people eat that much sugar, drive rather than walk, and watch that much Right Wing propaganda, you're going to get insanity.
There's definitely incentive for that from both candidates. If they talk about how ahead they are in the pills, people will neglect to vote. If they talk about how they're behind, then it's a foregone conclusion and people won't bother to vote.
If they preach about how close the polls are then it gets people worried enough to actually turn out and vote.
At this point I only seem to hear about polls directly from candidates or PACs so it's hard to know what the biases are.