this post was submitted on 06 Oct 2024
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politics
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Yep. Increase the need for in-person voting, decrease the amount of voting locations, have armed republican "volunteers" patrolling places, and then see how many people are willing to wait hours with armed right-wing militants eyeballing whether your glasses make you a "libtard."
I have no statistical evidence to back this up, but my gut feeling is that the aggregate of all the voting fuckery, election board fuckery, voting laws fuckery might end up be worth as much as 3-5% in battleground states. There's no statistical model that accounts for the illegal/quasi-legal voter suppression and disenfranchisement efforts.
All polls assume that everyone that can vote and intends to vote will get to vote and that their vote will be counted and that the counted votes will be accurately reported. That's a serious blind spot in election polling. And since the Republicans have been screaming that elections are fraudulent because of democratic/immigrant fantasies for four full years, when legitimate fraud can and does occur, no Democrat will be able to say it loud enough that it matters.