this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2024
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Florida up 28-14 at halftime. They probably win today, and Mertz, as usual, looks quite decent against teams that can't pressure him consistently. Run defense is super suspect though, and maroon Bulldogs are playing hard. I'll go out on a limb and say Florida wins by 8 after MSST pulls it to within that close with under a minute left.
I don't really think a win changes much though. Billy has to surprise and probably manage a bowl; 6 looks tough though, and anything beyond that in the regular season looks almost impossible. 5-7 might save him if they look surprisingly competitive versus Andrew-Johnson-UT and/or Georgia and none of the others are unexpectedly embarrassing. If I had to guess? 4-8 but he's gone before the end of the season.