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I would have expected the reported sexual abuse cases to be lower in conservative states. You know, because victims would feel more shame and danger so fewer of them would come forward and fewer would file police reports? Is the first graph measuring estimated abuse or reported abuse?
First graph is all reported child sexual abuse cases that were substantiated. You can see the full tables in the ACF website, and in 2021 specifically there were 59,328 CSA cases in the U.S. that were substantiated.
The percentage of kids who've officially reported sexual abuse actually seems to be decreasing considering not only the decrease you see in the graph (and it decreased further in 2022 to 59,044 cases), but also because in the Youth Risk Behavior Survey the percentage of teens who said they've experienced some kind of sexual violence increased from 9.7% in 2017 to 11% in 2021, and for rape specifically it went from 7.4% to 8.5%.
Well that's an awful trend.