Technology
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Do you think creating a "real AI" is possible with computers as we have now (but more powerful)?
I feel like technically it could be possible, but if it is it still is far away.
I don't thik it's so far away, due to the great current advances in Quantum Computing. In just a few years, our current computers look like a basic pocket calculator. It is not about more powerful computers like the current ones, but about multiplying their processing powers by more than 10,000 in one jump.
I actually think that analog computers would be more relevant here than quantum computers. The brain is an analog computer, and you could replicate what our neural connections do using a different substrate. This is an active area of research currently.
Yeah, but replicating the brain sure it's an incredibly complicated task. It would be pretty interesting.
Yeah, replicating the entire brain is a herculean effort. However, it's also important to keep in mind that the brain evolved for robustness, and has a lot of redundancy in it. It turns out that we'd only need to implement a neural network that's roughly 10% of the brain to get a human level intelligence as this case illustrates. That seems like a much more tractable problem. It might be even smaller in practice, since a lot of the brain is devoted to body regulation and we'd only care about the parts responsible for thought and reasoning.
I think the biggest roadblock is in figuring out the algorithm behind our conscious process. If we can identify that from the brain structure, then we could attempt to implement it on a different substrate. On Intelligence is a good book discussing this idea.