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We all know how this is gonna end. Prigozhin marches his 25,000 troops into Moscow, faces stiff resistance and is either killed in combat or captured.
Putin then goes full Vlad the Impaler and parades his corpse skewered on a pike for all of Russia to see, as a stark reminder of what happens to rebels.
This is a substantial setback for the Russian war effort, but I really cannot see Prigozhin overthrowing Putin. Best thing he could have done was defect to the West instead of try to depose the figurehead.
He is pissing on a hornet's nest.
Ultimately, it doesn't matter who wins or loses this battle. Either way, Ukraine wins.
Wagner was the only Russian force I regularly saw succeeding in the headlines. Without them bolstering the Russian military and in fact detracting from and wasting the resources of the Russian military, the whole house of cards is going to start falling.
Yea I'm not too in the loop on this topic, but following, and I'd like to think I understand people, especially bad people, and if anything this just acts as a destabilizer for putins power consolidation, and that is good for Ukraine regardless whether both parties are pos, which they are.
The thing that's worth thinking about is that most of the Russian people can't really resist Putin because the military are all on his side and put down protests.
But if the military would have switched sides they'd be far less inclined to put down protests against Putin. Theoretically this could lead to a full on Rebellion.
I'm wondering if and how things will change when it gets to their door step, as far as the Russian people vs Russian military dynamic goes. I'm not gonna pretend im in the know, culturally, and all the nuance, but I'm learning more following the story. Thanks for that insight.